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The Grand National winner is not always the favourite. Between and the horse that was the favourite has only won the race six times. With 30 fences, and more than five miles to run, it's no surprise that a lot can happen during the race.
Often horses can fall, unseat their rider, or be pulled up before the end of the race. Picking the right horses for the Grand National requires the examination of several factors and trends.
Some of the factors that our horse racing experts consider when making their Grand National predictions include the horse's age, its past performance, how frequently it has raced recently, and its weight.
Younger horses do not tend to perform well in the Grand National. Its long-running distance and 30 fences make it more suited to older horses that have better stamina.
The majority of past winners of the race have been horses aged 8 to A horse younger than 8 has not won the Grand National since As well as being the right age, horses usually need to have experience of competing in races that are at least 3 miles in length as this demonstrates their stamina.
A horse's weight has a big influence on their odds of winning. Only seven Grand National races since have been won by horses weighing more than 11st 5lbs.
Two of these wins were by Red Rum, the only horse to win the race three times. The Grand National is the most high profile horse race in Britain.
Top races like it attract the toughest competition from the best horses and most skilled jockeys. Grand National tipsters will look for horses that have form of succeeding in other major races like ones during the Cheltenham Festival and the Irish National.
All but one of the Grand National winners since had already placed in a graded race, before they attempted the race at Aintree. Horses also need to have experience of jumping.
The fences at Aintree Racecourse are large and difficult to traverse, therefore the horses that succeed are the ones that have typically run at least 10 other races over fences.
Trainers must also be careful not to over or underrun the horse in the lead up to the race too. In recent years, horses that have placed in races like the Gold Cup at the Cheltenham Festival have succeeded in the Grand National.
Horses that have already raced at Aintree Racecourse before can also be at a slight advantage. While the Grand National favourites don't always win, they are a good indicator of which horses are likely to perform well.
With 40 horses taking part in the Grand National, most bookmakers pay out on each way bets down to 4th, 5th or 6th place, meaning Grand National favourites can still be a good bet, even if they aren't the first horse to cross the finishing post.
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Horses that have run in previous Aintree Grand Nationals are always a good place to start. Therefore, when it comes to looking for horses that will run well in the Grand National horses with past history in the race often do well.
This was backed-up again in with the Grand National winner — Tiger Roll — following-up, while the third — Anibale Fly — managed to run a gallant fifth in the race in Seven winners had minimum four runs before going on to win the Aintree Grand National.
The only three who had less in recent years were Ballabriggs in , One For Arthur in and Tiger Roll in with only 3 runs each. Until recently, it was commonly assumed that horses carrying over 11 stone never win.
This allowed punters to rule out a decent slice of the entrants. However, this trend is showing signs of reversal in recent years.
Not least in when Many Clouds carried the monster weight of 11st 9lb to victory. When trying to figure out the safest possible bets on the Grand National race, searching for Grand National predictions is key.